How Predicta Works

A prediction market where probabilities move in real-time based on collective intelligence.

Four Simple Steps

Start trading in minutes

Choose an Event

Browse markets across sports, politics, crypto, and more.

Trade YES or NO

Buy YES if you think it will happen, NO if it won't.

Trade Anytime

Sell your position before the event ends to lock in profits.

Earn on Outcome

If you're right, receive $1 per share. If not, $0.

Video Tutorials

Learn by Watching

Master Predicta with our step-by-step video guides

3:45

Getting Started

Your first steps on Predicta

4:20

Placing Orders

How to buy YES and NO shares

5:10

Understanding Prices

What probabilities mean

4:55

Managing Positions

Track and sell your holdings

3:30

Market Resolution

How markets settle

6:15

Advanced Strategies

Tips for experienced traders

What is a prediction market?

A prediction market lets people trade on the outcome of a future event. Unlike a poll, participants have "skin in the game," making the forecast more accurate.

Real Examples

"Will Bitcoin be above $100,000 by Dec 31?"
"Will Team A win the final?"
"Will the Fed cut rates in March?"

Trading YES vs NO

You can trade either side. You're not betting against Predicta — you're trading with other users who have the opposite view.

YESBullish

Buy YES if you think the event will happen.

Profit if probability goes UP.

NOBearish

Buy NO if you think the event will not happen.

Profit if probability goes DOWN.

Prices are complementary: YES (0.65) + NO (0.35) = 1.00

Prices reflect Probability

Prices range from 0 to 1. They move freely based on supply and demand. You can interpret the price as the market's estimated probability.

$0.65 (65%)

0%100%

Pro Tip: If you think the true probability is 80%, but the market price is only 0.65, that's a trading opportunity.

Settlement & Payouts

When the event outcome is known, the market resolves to either YES or NO.

If you are RIGHT

$1.00

per share payout

If you are WRONG

$0.00

per share payout

Note: You don't have to wait for settlement. You can sell your shares at market price any time before the event closes.

Ready to trade?

The best way to learn is to watch the markets in action. Check out what's trending right now.

Explore Markets Create Account

FAQ

In Predicta, YES prices range from 0 to 1. A YES price of 0.65 can be read as 'about a 65% chance' based on what traders are willing to pay right now. Prices move with buying and selling.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk. Prices reflect trader demand and can fluctuate rapidly.